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Trading and Filtering Continuation Trades

Craig Garbie, Market Taker Mentoring, Inc.

The last article I talked about the importance of considering the context of the market when carving out trades and ideas. In this piece, I will explore some contextual elements that can be used as filters for continuation trades. Continuation trades are defined as trade opportunities in the direction of the perceived trend on the time frame being traded. Pauses or small retracements in the directional price action, provide opportunities to participate in the directional activity.

The question remains, under what conditions will a high probability trade present itself? The first thing to look for is where an impulse has taken place [more].

Keeping the Context When Trading Patterns

Craig Garbie, Market Taker Mentoring, Inc.

Myopia and trading, generally, do not mix well. What do I mean? Focusing on a single timeframe while looking for an opportunity will likely have the trader entering many subpar trades that look like wonderful candidates without the markets background. I say generally, because some HFT algorithms and other unique trading methodologies are indeed very short term focused. However, I am referring to strategic trading even if that means a daily timeframe focus. Having a plan and carving out trading opportunities requires time, work and analysis.

A popular and relatively simple trading pattern is based on continuation. Continuation is defined for our purpose, as market movement [more]

Wheats the Matter with the Grains?

Craig Garbie, Market Taker Mentoring, Inc.

Looking at the grain complex, one thing is apparent. Wheat is the worst performer over any recent time period. While we see some strength in beans and its related markets, soy bean oil and soy bean meal. This is reportedly due to palm oil shortages in Asia. Palm oil has no other readily available substitutes so end users have been tapping soybean oil. Corn has not been able to find a reason to show lasting strength.

Wheat is near decade-long lows, and lower if we adjust for inflation. The temptation is to get long some grains as the rallies can be ferocious. If traders do not get the timing right, the markets [more]

Is This the Top for the Long Bond?

Craig Garbie, Market Taker Mentoring, Inc.

Bonds yields have reached all-time lows across the globe. By some measures rates have reached five thousand year lows. Markets like Germany have seen negative real returns on their ten-year paper. When will it come to an end? Finding an entry somewhere near the turning point can potentially become a multi-year trade.

Rumors of an ECB taper have sent longer-term paper higher in recent days giving a possible [more]

Making Money in a Neutral or Down Market Trading Index Options

Marlene Sackman, Author

Trading index options is like a game of chess. There are many choices to make in a chess game based on what you want to accomplish, but, in many cases, more importantly, on what your opponent does. The best chess players are able to look multiple moves ahead in determining the possible action and reactions to these moves. The first moves, in many cases, are relatively standard. It’s the subsequent moves in the middle game  that set up the strategy to take control and ultimately come in for the kill in the end game.
 
In trading index options, the first move is based on a variety of fundamental and technical analytics. There are a vast array of fundamental and technical tools that have proven some consistency in predicting future outcomes, however, in the end, one must rely on personal judgment in choosing a strike, month and [more]

How About Some Implied Volatility to Compliment Your Futures Trading?

Craig Garbie, Trader

When trading futures it helps to frame out the current day before the open. One thing I have found useful is using the Implied Volatility (IV) of the at the money options to create the zones where moves may exhaust and reversion becomes more likely.

The easiest way to show how I use IV for this estimate is by way of example using the S&P E-mini contact and the VIX. I am using the VIX as my estimate of IV because it is easy for anyone to get and track. The current VIX from the CBOE website on [more]

How to Protect Yourself from HFTs

The Hold Brothers Team, Contributors

Trading is a business that is constantly changing in terms of regulation, market structure, and trading styles. Arguably the biggest change within the industry within the past decade has been the emergence of high frequency traders (HFTs), who employ automated algorithms and black box strategies to execute certain types of trades faster than a human can.

Some strategies that automated traders use include low latency implementation of price arbitrage, trading for liquidity rebates, trading from sides of the spread then profiting from the difference, and price spiking or trading on the [more]

An Effective Strategic Option Trading Plan Requires Flexibility 

Dan Passarelli, Market Taker Mentoring, Inc.

Sometimes the best move in executing your strategic option trading plan requires you to change course.

In battle, the generals never order an army to retreat. They simply order a "strategic withdrawal" of troops and resources, based on new information and conditions.

Semantic silliness, perhaps, but a valid strategy. [more]

You Gotta Know Who is in Control

Craig Garbie, Contributor

As a futures trader it is critical to know who is in control for the day. What is the dominant timeframe in the market? For our purposes I will breakdown participants into four basic groups operating on different timeframes. They have different motives, tactics and tools.  Now, there will be times [more]

Making Money in a Neutral or Down Market

Marlene Sackheim, Author

My hat goes off to Janet Yellen who had the wherewithal to take the bull by its horns and start the process of normalizing interest rates in the United States. Along with a myriad of other fundamental factors, the equity markets are approaching more reasonable values. There goes that word ‘fundamental’ which has finally started appearing in the financial chatter.

For the past eight years, the central bank interest rates and currency manipulations   have initiated and perpetuated nothing short of a meteoric rise in equity prices. These valuation increases were, in large part, not due to increases in earnings [more]

What the DOW is going on?

Joe Cusick, Vice President of Wealth and Asset Management at MoneyBlock

How many times did you hear last week that the Dow Industrials hit a 3-month high or that the S&P 500 set a new record close? Sounds like the sky is the limit, but is it?

I often discuss how lagging markets or sectors tend to be the bane of market strategists with a directional opinion. Recently, I discussed how the Dow 30 has been anchored by two of its sister DOW indices: Utilities and Transports [more]

Stock Options Advice: Investor, Know Thyself

Dan Passarelli, Market Taker Mentoring

Here's some general advice about taking any stock options advice: Don't.

More precisely, never take stock options advice from anyone without weighing it against your own criteria for an appropriate risk or trade.

Every investor has a trading and investing psychology that constitutes his beliefs, values, aspirations and gratifications about risk and wealth. No two investors have the exact same psychology. [more]

Options or Equities: Which is Better to Own?

 Ross Barnett Terry, Contributor

As the options market has expanded it has presented an opportunity that many are not aware of or notTrading Articles even considered. The opportunity arises from the very question that drives ownership in shares and thus presents us with the question at hand. Options or equities: Which is better to own?

Being a former Market Maker on the CBOE, I was taught that stock was only a temporary hedge against the positions we carried and there only to negate the deltas... [more]

Synthetics in a Low Volatility Environment

Ross Barnett Terry, Contributor

In a low volatility environment, creating synthetic call and put positions offers traders creative flexibility. Synthetic positions can allow traders a position in the underlying stock (long or short) with protection.  Synthetic long calls or puts afford traders the luxury of cheap protection while creating unlimited upside potential on calls: with the only limitation to the downside for puts is the zero mark.

A synthetic call is created when the trader buys stock and purchases a put contract for downside protection (the position can also be legged). A synthetic put is created by selling shares of stock while simultaneously purchasing a call for [more]

Learn Options Trading with a Paper Trading Account First 

Dan Passarelli, Market Taker Mentoring, Inc.

At first glance, the work to learn options trading may be daunting to the individual investor. But you needn't worry. No one is a professional trader when they first start out. Everyone is inexperienced and needs to learn how to trade before they can master the market. The psychological impact of the fear of risk of loss can make the learning path particularly intimidating. But you can learn options trading without risk of loss. Quite the contrary.

In fact, you can learn options trading, developing and testing your own trading strategies in a real world environment [more]

Making Money in a Neutral or Down Market Using Index Options

Marlene Sackheim, Author                                                                                              

Any one can make money in an up market – sometimes it’s as easy as throwing a dart at a financial page! It is the truly savvy, innovative investor who can come up with strategies to aggressively make money when stocks are going nowhere or down, down, down.  In fact, once you understand the nature of option pricing, finding strategies with extremely favorable  risk/reward can be much easier in a down market.

Just a brief span through any financial history book will quickly demonstrate that the equity markets have a decidedly upside bias. On average, a bull run can have 4-7 years of upside that is only slightly interrupted by small intermittent, insignificant corrections. In comparison, short downsides are fast and [more]

Playing Momentum Names in a Frothy Market

Joe Cusick, Vice President of Wealth and Asset Management at MoneyBlock

With markets just off of all-time highs, traders may find themselves in one of two camps – either they areTrading Education, Trading Articles trying to convince themselves to stay properly valued in the market, or they want exposure to the high-flying, high-growth, momentum stocks, likeNetflix, Facebook or Tesla.

Because these stocks are also at frothy valuations, buying a full position may eat up an outsized portion of a trader’s portfolio – exposing them to high volatility and risk. However, traders can capture the same upside potential as outright stock ownership, while ... [more]

 

Learn Options Trading With a Demo Account Before Trading for Real

At first glance, the work to learn options trading may be daunting to the individual investor. But you needn't worry. Everyone is inexperienced at the start of a new venture. But there is a way where traders can learn options trading without the risk of loss.

In fact, you can learn options trading, developing and testing your own trading strategies in a real world environment, without risking a penny of your own money. How? With a demo, or paper-trading account at your online options broker [more]

Making Wise Stock Option Picks 

Making outstanding stock option picks with great profit potentials and low risk, whether the market is up or down, is a challenge these days. But it’s not necessarily impossible. Success for any trader depends on diligent market research and a thorough understanding of stock option fundamentals.

First understand, that when looking for profitable trading opportunities, you don't have to do all the work yourself. There are many services these days that offer guidelines and various research to help traders with shortcuts. And there are news aggregators that put all the relevant fundamental data all in one place. There are also professional analysts make stock option picks... [more]

Flash Boys and the Tower: FCC License Number 1215095Book Review, Article, Educational Article

Amy Boggs, Traders Exclusive

Michael Lewis’ Flash Boys gives us an interesting, yet somewhat biased glimpse about life as a high-frequency trader. As controversial as it may seem, it is an entertaining book that has roots in reality. In all its glory, Lewis’ book offers the secrets of the insider, an elite group known as high-frequency traders (HFT). But some secrets are not all laid out. Some are ... [more]

 

Protect Yourself in Fast Markets

It can happen to anyone. If you're trading online, be aware that sometimes options trading platforms can develop delays, especially in fast markets when many investors want to trade at the same time, and prices change quickly.

Heavy traffic can occasionally slow down even the best options trading platform. [more]

The Iron Butterfly

Randall Liss, The Liss Report

No, not the 1970's heavy metal band (I really date myself here, don't I?). I mean one of my very favoriteOptions Education Strategy, Options Trading Article  trading strategies. It is particularly useful when the market or a stock is range bound, or as now, going back and forth between... [more]

 

The Advantages to Using an Online Discount Option Broker

Once you decide to begin trading options, one of your first decisions is whether you will use a full-service broker or an online discount option broker, meaning a broker in which self-directed traders can enter their own trades and execute them themselves at a very low commission.

Beyond paying these greatly reduced commissions from those of traditional brokers, there are some advantages and maybe disadvantages to using an online discount option broker. Let’s take a look. [more]

 

The "Greeks"

 Ross Barnett Terry, ContributorTrading Option Greeks, Option Greeks Article

Options are dynamic animals governed by a set of theoretical variables known as “Greeks.” Together they assume the dynamics of the sensitivity of the option with regards to a one point move in the underlying...[more]

Creating a Low Cost Collar

 Ross Barnett Terry, Contributor

When investors get to a point where they have substantial gains in a position, they may want to start toHelp with trading, Trading Articles, options trading help look at protection against loss. One of the most creative low cost ways to achieve this is through an options play known as a collar trade. The trade consists of buying a put option and financing the cost of that put option with a call option that has a higher strike with the same expiration. The call option... [more]

 

What's Happening To The Smaller Banks?

Tim Melvin, Contributor

Consider the life of a banker running a small bank today.Article on Small Banks, Educational Article

It used to be a great life running one of these little banks. You oversaw a network of 10 or 15 branches in smaller towns or suburbs across the country and were a well-liked business leader of your community.

More than likely you weren't just a member of the Rotary and other civic groups, you... [more]

 

How Patience Will Earn You Money In The Stock Market

 Tim Melvin, Contributor

That seems to be the attitude that infects all too many investors. When the opening bells ring on the NYSE every morning at 9:30 am EST, traders seem to feel the need to do something.

The ticker tape is running, the talking heads on the media are cheerleading different stocks and sectors. The advertisements are almost constant, urging out... [more]

 

Be Careful What You Wish For.... When The Jobs Picture Improves and Wages Rise, Look Out, Inflation is Around Corner!

Floyd Upperman, Contributor

The recent FOMC meeting and subsequent announcement came as a surprise to me. I expectedArticle on Inflation, Banking Article, Educational Article a more hawkish tone, at least some hint of an exit plan (at least some plan to taper the 85B a month in Fed purchases of bonds and mortgage back securities). But not even a whisper on that! And now everyone is focused on the Debt ceiling, and the annual tradition of "raising the debt ceiling". What a farce! If this whole fiasco... [more]

Advanced Trading: Going Long and Short on the Same Instrument in the Same Account

 Raymond Stein, NinjaTrader, LLC

Savvy investors must have an arsenal of tools and strategies available to employ as theArticle  on Trading, Educational Article, Trading Tools to use, option trading system market continually changes, adapts and corrects to news and events from around the world. I would like toshare a powerful technique any trader can use to either hedge their position and/or trade in multiple time frames and multiple directions (long or short) at the same time.

Why would I want to trade long and short on the same instrument, in the same account at the same time? This is a great question and the key... [more]

Butterfly Spreads: Part C

 Ross Barnett Terry, Contributor

As previously discussed, the butterfly and condor spreads are a composition of vertical spreadsoption trading ideas, options trading education, Options trading strategies combined in various ways. All offer the trader various ways to profit with inherent defined risk. The long butterflies can be designed to profit as a stock moves up or down or trades sideways. The key to success is for the stock to stay in the range between the long strikes and optimally being at the common short strike nearest to expiration; which is when the spread is at its most profitable point.

Another form of the butterfly is called a double diagonal, which is a similar position to the iron condor, but is created by the long strikes being purchased in the next... [more]

 

Understanding Butterfly Spreads: Part B Variations

Ross Barnett Terry, Contributor

Now that we have discussed the basics regarding the butterfly spreads, it is time to look at variationsOptions Strategy, Butterfly Spread, option trading ideas, options trading articles common to many floor traders regarding positioning. As we initially saw in part A, the Butterfly Spreads are comprised of a long vertical call spread and a short vertical call spread in the same expiration on the same underlying with a common short strike. The spread is most profitable at the common short strike. The goal again is to have the stock closest to the short strike but more importantly; between the two long strikes. The same is true for put butterfly spreads. That said let us look at a variation known as the iron butterfly.

The iron butterfly is a variation comprised of a short call vertical and a short put vertical on the same underlying and done in the same expiration... [more]

 

How to Get Your Wife to Support Your Trading

Laurie Itkin, The Options Lady

Before I began my formal presentation at the Traders Expo last year, I asked the 90% male audienceoptions trading articles, Trading Articles, option trading ideas three questions:

1) How many of you have wives/partners who trade?
2) How many of you wish your wife/partner would trade?
3) How many of you wish your ex-wife would trade so you can reduce your alimony?

As you guessed, very few hands went up in response to the first question, lots of hands went up in response to the second question, and laughter was the response ...[more]
 

 

Butterfly Spreads - Part I

Ross Barnett Terry, Contributor

In this discussion, butterfly spreads and variations will be addressed in an attempt to build on a conceptTrading education, Trading Articles, options trading education, free online trading education that will be further explained in additional soon-to-be released articles. The trader should then have a fundamental grasp on the different ways to properly position themselves for a wide array of scenarios in regards to the underlying security in question.

Butterfly spreads are an options position created by buying one vertical spread and selling another with the short strike of the verticals being ...[more]

 

“Presuming a Perfect World”

Larry Shover, SFG Alternatives

Uninterested in last week’s dampening growth data, (i.e. U.S. Import Prices, Producer Price Index, andTrading Education, Help with trading, Trading Articles, trading education online University of Michigan Sentiment Index, etc.); the S&P 500 resumed its ascent – shattering all-time (nominal) record highs (set October, 2007) in the process. The S&P 500 closed the week +2.29% and presently stands   ...[more]

 

“The Markets March Madness”

Larry Shover, SFG Alternatives

We look back at a confusing March 2013, a month where the S&P 500 posted a 3.5% gain (DowTrading ideas, online options trading, learn trading online, option trading Jones Industrials +3.70%, Nasdaq +3.40%) going against the grain of most – if not all – global stock markets. Europe was flattish overall however peripheral markets suffered steep declines – Spain and Italy both weakened more than -3.5% while Greece tumbled almost- 14.0%. March also witnessed  ...[more]

When Should You Take Advantage of the Early Exercise Right?

Dave Rodgers, Contributor

The early exercise feature for equity options contain fundamental changes in risk that need to beoptions trading training, learn trading online, option trading, Trade commentary evaluated prior to making a decision. The most common reason to exercise a call early is to capture a dividend. By exercising a call option the day before a stock goes ex-dividend the option holder take delivery of the stock and captures said dividend. This is can be an easy decision if options are deep in the money but how do you evaluate  ...[more]

 

Understanding Front Month Gamma

Ross Barnett Terry, Contributor

Gamma is a greek term that identifies the rate of change in a delta. In essence, it is the delta of theThe Greeks, Trading ideas, Trading Articles, options trading help, trading news delta. Why is this important? It is significantly important because gamma is a dynamic animal and is most sensitive as an option nears the end of its “life”.

Think of it as a dying entity, a warrior lying in the battlefield gasping for his last breath, lashing out, striking at anything that comes close. This is the very essence of the term gamma. The life of an option is limited. It either ends up ...[more] 

Earnings Volatility: Friend or Foe?

Ross Barnett Terry, Contributor

When a company has an earning’s conference scheduled, many times there is speculation not only inonline trading education, online trading help, options trading help, Volatility Article regards to the accuracy of the projected earnings per share (EPS), but to several other factors as well. These include but are not limited to sales and revenue streams, products in the pipeline, cash on hand, management changes, possible future stock or bond offerings, etc. The uncertainty may cause volatility in the shares themselves, but the diamond in the rough is actually the temporary parabolic increase in the exchange listed options on the underlying shares. Traders tend to stay on the sidelines going into the days leading up to the earnings...[more] 

Delta is the King of Option Greeks

Dan Passarelli, Market Taker Mentoring

We all know option contracts are derivatives, and option prices are derived from the underlying stock,Option Greeks, online trading help, options trading articles, Trading education, Help with trading index, ETF or futures contract. But with other factors at work – implied volatility, time decay, etc. – how can you know how much an option is going to move with respect to said underlying? Very simple – check out the option’s delta.

Delta is arguably the most heavily watched of the option greeks, as it offers a quick-and-dirty way of telling us what to expect from our option positions ...[more]

Is Time Decay Kicking Your Butt?

Dan Passarelli, Market Taker Mentoring

There are still a few weeks to go until options expiration, but it is never too early to start thinking about Article on Time Decay, Trading Education, options trading articles, options trading ideastime decay. Time decay is a premium buyer’s worst enemy and a premium seller’s trusted friend.

An option’s pricing consists of two main elements –intrinsic value (the difference between the strike price and the stock price; out-of-the-money options have no intrinsic value) and time value, measured by the length of time until expiration. While intrinsic value is ... [more]
 

Finer Points of Expiration

Dan Passarelli, Market Taker Mentoring Article on Expiration, Options Education,  Help with Option Trading

Once a month, options expiration rolls around. But options expiration requires some study to understand. Let’s take a look at some options expiration finer points.

1. While we always refer to “expiration Friday,” options don’t actually expire until Saturday. Technically, expiration occurs ...[more]

The Power of Leverage: Purchasing Options Verses Owning Shares of Stock

Ross Barnett Terry, Contributor

Why would anyone want to risk capital trading derivatives in lieu of the actual physical underlying vehicleoption trading, option trading tips, Trade commentary, Commentary on Options they are based on? The advantages are based on the potential to leverage available capital and better position one’s self for greater profit with greatly reduced risk.

Buying one standardized option affords the owner a veritable safety net on the price of the underlying. The strike price coupled with the cost of the options...[more]

 

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